Crash-Retrieval Provenance-Independence Analysis (2026).

documentedanalysisPrivate Aerospace Contractors

Computed test of whether the modern (2017+) crash-retrieval corroboration is independent or circular. Result: 14/14 core claims lose ALL independent primary-document grounding when the central Reid/Bigelow/AAWSAP/AATIP/TTSA/Grusch cluster is removed; the narrative converges on one claim (legacy_program, 13 in-pointing sources). Independently reproduces AARO Historical Record Vol 1 circular-sourcing finding.

A leave-the-cluster-out network test on graph.json (scripts/analyze_provenance_independence.py). For each of 14 modern crash-retrieval/reverse-engineering core claims, trace source-attribution edges to any INDEPENDENT primary document; then remove the central provenance cluster (Harry Reid funding -> Robert Bigelow/BAASS -> AAWSAP/AATIP -> Elizondo/Lacatski/Puthoff/Eric Davis -> To The Stars Academy/Mellon -> Grusch) and retest. Result: 0/14 retain an independent primary-document path (100% cluster-dependent); convergence hub = legacy_program (13 sources). HONEST LIMITS: (1) this measures the graph structure, which reflects but does not replace the primary record; (2) that alleged-tier claims lack independent primary docs is partly definitional (they are testimony) - so the finding is NOT proof the claims are false; (3) the load-bearing, falsifiable result is the TOPOLOGY - a single interconnected source community, not independent witnesses - which is exactly AARO Vol 1 concluded. The claim tags (9 alleged / 4 disputed / 1 documented) already encode the weak evidentiary base; this quantifies the non-independence.

Connected entities

AARO Historical Record Report Vol 1 (2024).AAWSAP (Advanced Aerospace Weapon System Applications Program).Alleged Control Group (unproven).Grusch crash-retrieval / reverse-engineering allegation.KONA BLUE proposed program.Legacy Crash-Retrieval Program.Physical-Evidence Replication Scorecard (2026).